Word on the Street · GDP for the 4th quarter showed that economy has grown at a healthy pace, despite the housing slump. · Strong consumer spending (representing 70% of overall GDP) in the 4th quarter contributed to the growth. · The Fed will likely hold rates steady until the housing slump or the tight labor market outweighs the other. · New single-family homes sales in 2006 plunged to its lowest annual growth since 1990. · US manufacturing (particularly auto-related) activity show continued weakness, but the services sector added over 100 thousand jobs in January. Dollars and Cents · International survey indicates foreign investors have slightly increased their appetite for riskier strategies in the US market. · Value-added real estate represents 25% of foreign investors' targeted acquisitions in 2007. · Pension funds have been increasing fund allocations towards mezzanine and bridge loans, as well as B-notes. · Growing popularity of CDOs in 2007 will increase liquidity, which translates to lower borrowing rates from such sources. Real Estate Focus · Silicon Valley saw $5.6 billion worth of commercial real estate investment transactions in 2006. · This was $700 million higher than the previous year, as business activity in the area has been improving. · Associated General Contractors of America forecasts a 6% to 8% rise in commercial construction costs in 2007. · Sam Zell created a bidding war for his Equity Office Properties Trust as he tries to generate top dollars for his REIT. · Mr. Zell's sale of his biggest office REIT may imply that he sees a peaked office market. · After rounds of topping offers, Blackstone (who offered the less risky offer than Vornado) won EOP's shareholder approval. · EOP's privatization will take away a significant portion of the overall REIT market capitalization (which stood at $400B in 2006).
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